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1.專家：Jarkko

競(jìng)足 周三002歐冠巴薩vs國(guó)際米蘭

開賽時(shí)間：2025-05-01 03:00:00

巴塞羅那在西班牙國(guó)王杯決賽中以3-2加時(shí)戰(zhàn)勝皇家馬德里，士氣大振。然而，他們可能再次缺少關(guān)鍵球員：前鋒羅伯特·萊萬(wàn)多夫斯基和左后衛(wèi)亞歷杭德羅·巴爾德均因大腿傷勢(shì)無(wú)法確定出場(chǎng)時(shí)間。萊萬(wàn)多夫斯基缺席的情況下，通常踢邊鋒的費(fèi)蘭·托雷斯頂替他出任中鋒。雖然托雷斯速度更快，但他缺乏波蘭球星那樣的身體素質(zhì)和進(jìn)球的穩(wěn)定性。

預(yù)計(jì)首發(fā)陣容（4-3-3）：特爾施特根；孔德、阿勞霍、克里斯滕森、坎塞洛；京多安、德容、佩德里；亞馬爾、費(fèi)蘭·托雷斯、拉菲尼亞

與此同時(shí)，國(guó)際米蘭正努力從令人失望的一周中恢復(fù)，他們?cè)谝獯罄霙Q賽中輸給了AC米蘭，在意甲聯(lián)賽中輸給了羅馬。盡管在對(duì)著羅馬時(shí)掌控球權(quán)，但國(guó)際米蘭未能將優(yōu)勢(shì)轉(zhuǎn)化為進(jìn)球。馬庫(kù)斯·圖拉姆可能回歸鋒線，這對(duì)球隊(duì)來(lái)說(shuō)是一個(gè)重大的鼓舞，盡管本杰明·帕瓦爾仍然缺席比賽。國(guó)際米蘭將依靠其穩(wěn)固的防守和反擊體系。

預(yù)計(jì)首發(fā)陣容（3-5-2）：索默；達(dá)米安、德弗賴、巴斯托尼；鄧弗里斯、巴雷拉、恰爾汗奧盧、姆希塔良、迪馬爾科；圖拉姆、勞塔羅

巴塞羅那將通過(guò)積極的壓迫和動(dòng)態(tài)控球來(lái)鞏固其統(tǒng)治地位，但國(guó)際米蘭緊湊的3-5-2陣型和嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)膽?zhàn)術(shù)紀(jì)律使他們難以攻破。意大利球隊(duì)本賽季12場(chǎng)歐冠比賽僅失5球，包括在四分之一決賽中以4-3的總比分險(xiǎn)勝拜仁慕尼黑。

巴塞羅那在主場(chǎng)占據(jù)優(yōu)勢(shì)，但國(guó)米的韌性和反擊威脅使這場(chǎng)比賽勢(shì)均力敵。預(yù)計(jì)這將是一場(chǎng)謹(jǐn)慎的、身體對(duì)抗激烈的較量。1-1？2-2？我寧愿選擇平局而不是2-2，我覺(jué)得如果國(guó)米整場(chǎng)比賽比分都接近，他們就不會(huì)太過(guò)激進(jìn)，而且巴塞羅那的勝率也絕對(duì)不會(huì)這么高，更有可能是50%左右。

祝你好運(yùn)！

附原文：

Barcelona enter this high-stakes semifinal fresh off a morale-boosting 3–2 extra-time victory over Real Madrid in the Spanish Cup final, securing their second trophy of the season. However, they may once again be without key players: strikerRobert Lewandowskiand left-backAlejandro Baldeare both doubtful due to thigh injuries. In Lewandowski’s absence, Ferran Torres typically a winger, has filled in at centre-forward. While he brings more pace, he lacks the physical presence and goal-scoring consistency of the Polish star.

Expected XI (4-3-3): Ter Stegen; Koundé, Araujo, Christensen, Cancelo; Gündo?an, De Jong, Pedri; Yamal, Ferran Torres, Raphinha

Inter Milan, meanwhile, are trying to rebound from a disappointing week, having lost to AC Milan in the Coppa Italia semifinal and Roma in Serie A. Despite controlling possession in Rome, Inter failed to convert their dominance into goals. The likely return of MarcusThuramup front is a major boost, though BenjaminPavardremains out. Inter will lean on their defensive solidity and counter-attacking structure.

- Expected XI (3-5-2): Sommer; Darmian, de Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Thuram, Lautaro

Barcelona will look to assert their dominance with an aggressive press and dynamic ball control, but Inter's compact 3–5–2 system and tactical discipline make them a tough nut to crack. The Italians have conceded only five goals in 12 Champions League games this season, including a gritty 4–3 aggregate win over Bayern Munich in the quarterfinals.

Barcelona has the edge at home, but Inter’s resilience and counter-attacking threat make this a close one. Expect a cagey, physical battle. 1-1? 2-2? I would rather choose the draw than X2, I feel Inter are not pushing it if they stay close all game, and no way Barcelona are this big favourites, more likely 50% or so.

Good luck!